Our future is catastrophic. According đồ sộ Scientists who study the carrying capacity of planet earth, we currently use 30% more of the recourses phàn nàn we can replenish, if all of humankind lives by the standard European lifestyle, we would need 3 planets, and if all live by the North American standard we would need 5 planets worth of resources. Also, according đồ sộ the same scientists, the population that can be held sustainably by one planet earth ranges from 300million đồ sộ optimistic figures of up đồ sộ 2 billion people. We are today nearing 8 billion and with our current track record we will reach 10billion by 2050. One thing for certain is we need đồ sộ decrease global population. I see sustainability lượt thích this: We have all seen overcrowded micro busses whose toàn thân is scraping the wheels, now imagine the constraint is that you can’t change the size and shape of the toàn thân of the bus, only make limited services đồ sộ change the engine oil, and clutch plates, and the bus gains a passenger each day. The only certainty is that the bus is doomed, sooner, phàn nàn later. Changing the engine oil and clutch plates is good, matter of fact a must, but that đồ sộ an extent may even mislead the driver and his fellow conductor đồ sộ have the feeling that they can add a few more passengers additional. Changing the fluids is lượt thích the sustainable development, and lượt thích I said it’s a must, because without that, the kết thúc is nearer. But it is not the solution. The solution is not decreasing the growth rate of population, but absolute decrease in population. This understanding however has pushed the wrong buttons a few times in recent history. The most infamous examples of top down population control are the Nazis eugenic programs, India under Indira Gandhi performed controversial borderline forceful tubal ligations and vasectomies on thousands during the 70s and more recently Trung Quốc for 30 years carried the one child policy which according đồ sộ the government has contributed đồ sộ 300million less people but according đồ sộ watchdog Amnesty International, the results have been an increase in suicide rates, corruption, bribery, abortions and even murder of new born daughters. The “Dark” age of Indias sterilization chiến dịch affected the ones in poverty, the ones above, of course got away, and we all know how the Nazis chiến dịch went. Natural incidents lượt thích the 1918 influenza epidemic killed 50million people, world was one 37million* and world war 2 70million* then there were countless earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanoes, floods, fires, hurricanes, and plagues. But the power of sex greatly outweighs any mass disaster and we keep growing, multiplying. Martin Luther King Jr called overpopulation a plague and Stanford university Biologist Dr Paul Ehrlich called it the population bomb.
One of the earliest extensive multidisciplinary studies done was in the 70s with a group of top global think tanks in Rome, who came together đồ sộ brainstorm the mindset of short term thinking and long term thinking. They published the results of that brainstorming titled “limits đồ sộ growth” and instantly it became the then bestseller selling 12 million copies in a dozen languages (which đồ sộ bu is as ironic borderline-funny as it gets, because even for a population de-growth study, the sales come from a bigger market). The underlying message of the report even back then was simple, that we are running out of resources and we are running out of time.
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Now fast forward 5 decades, and we are worse off, of course population has grown and yes resources have too, but the population đồ sộ resource ratio is still worse off, because of our increased pattern of consumption and (improved) lifestyle. Our lifestyle, from the vehicles, đồ sộ the airplanes, đồ sộ the phones, đồ sộ electricity, đồ sộ everything we are immersed with today is a diversion from the actual problem, but honestly none of us can afford đồ sộ go back đồ sộ the woods or decide đồ sộ not have offsprings for the sake of the generation that comes after 500years. I can’t and won’t either, but I thinks it is important for us đồ sộ understand, the a step back and think, at least once in a while, that one in four mammals today face extension, 90 % of life in the sea has disappeared (types of fishes of course) Our aquifers are driving up, our soil is becoming too salty for crop production, we are running out of oil, low on essentials lượt thích uranium. More importantly, in the time that you started this particular sentence, a child somewhere in the world has died of hunger, and another from thirst, or by drinking contaminated water because of thirst.
Now before I come off as one of those sci-fi villains who are logical with this theory but want đồ sộ cleanse mankind from planet earth, I want đồ sộ put on record that I above everything else prioritize on the equal right of all human life, poor or rich, Đen or white, stupid or smart, fat or swag. And I think Bill Gates does too. Bill gates is actually the reason I’m writing about this, because over the weekend when I was researching this thing, that let bu đồ sộ that thing which led bu đồ sộ this other thing I stumbled upon an Interview of Bill gates who as we all know is spending his life and money solving the worlds grandest problems. I naively thought for a minute that people lượt thích bill gates are stupid, they’re thinking short term, they’re helping the current generation live longer/better by bringing down child mortality, helping extend life expectancy, all of which makes this whole thing much worse for the future generations! But there is a reason Bill Gates is a billionaire and Sambhav here Isn’t. After diving in a little deeper, I got my answer, Bill Gates writes “The Key thing you can bởi đồ sộ reduce population growth is actually improve health…There is a perfect correlation, as you improve health, and education, within half a generation the population growth rate goes down.” We (Homo sapiens) go back roughly 1,50,000 years and its only in recent decades that infant mortality has gone down, but for the absolute majority of our evolution its been embedded in our genes đồ sộ produce as many offsprings as we can đồ sộ ensure at least a couple of them survive đồ sộ take care of us in our older age. Having large families, parents are ensuring they live comfortably till as long as possible. So better chances of elongated life would means we homosapiens if today don’t have đồ sộ put our eggs in different baskets (literally). But even agreeing that better healthcare leads đồ sộ decrease in growth of population, it doesn’t answer the question of the solution for an absolute Net decrease in population. So are we headed for the worst knowing the worst, does Mother Nature have a planetary apocalypse planned for us? Is Elon Musk’s multi planetary living the only possible (far fetched) solution? Or are we waiting for the sci-fi villain đồ sộ come in and “save” the day (next millennium).
It’s bad. And sorry if you’ve spent all this time đồ sộ read till here and this only ended up depressing you, a problem you didn’t know was a problem or were unfazed by, its ok, you can decide not đồ sộ award bu the lượt thích on this post, but before you decide on that, let bu tell you a short story from history, which may cheer you up a little.
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“Naturalis Historia” was a 37 volume encyclopedia written by this Naval Army Commander turned writer during the Roman Empire in the year AD 23 (one thousand nine hundred ninety six years ago) In one of the volumes he shares this story of this goldsmith who one day brought a strange dinner plate đồ sộ the Emperor. To Điện thoại tư vấn the plate shiner phàn nàn the rest would be an understatement, this plate he brought was nothing lượt thích anyone had seen, sharp, lighter, almost as bright as silver, and was a metal no one had ever seen. The goldsmith claimed đồ sộ the emperor he had extracted this metal and only he and the gods knew how đồ sộ bởi this. Its important đồ sộ note that the Emperor was Rome’s greatest general who had conquered most of Europe amassing a fortune of gold and silver along the way. He was also a financial expert who knew a new metal with more supply would render his life worth of gold and silver, valueless. So instead of a big reward, what the goldsmith got was an immediate beheading. The shiny metal the goldsmith had brought was Aluminum and the beheading compromised humankind of aluminum for nearly 2 millenniums. Around the 1800s the metal resurfaced, but still was ví rare that on a particular incident Napoleon III during a reception for a king gifted Aluminum utensils đồ sộ the honored guests while the general invitees had đồ sộ make bởi with gold utensils.
How did a rare metal lượt thích that become one of the necessities of the modern day manufacturing and consumer industry? Because of chemistry. Now in all honesty, one of the things Iv never been able đồ sộ get a grasp on is chemistry ví in short, in the mid 1800s “Chemistry happened” (a quick google result shows ‘Henri Sainte-Claire Deville created the first commercial process for extraction of aluminum through the process of electrolysis).
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The reason I think this story is relevant đồ sộ the issue of overpopulation is because I think all of us are probably thinking linear, history has multiple of similar stories, even present days, we are unaware but we are surrounded with similar incidents, many of us even involved in modern day beheadings unknowingly. Heres some food for thought; History is full of once rare resources made abundant by innovation. Imagine, there was a time when the worlds best minds thought that going out too far into the sea, you would approach the kết thúc of the earth and fall off into the universe, until boats were invented and exploration begun. Also as mentioned by Peter Dimandis; look at this as a giant orange tree packed with fruits, if one plucks all the orange from the lower branches, the fruits on the higher branches are effectively out of access. From a limited mindset, the fruits are now scarce. But once someone invents a piece of technology called the ladder, we’ve suddenly got new reach. Problem solved. Technology is a resource liberating mechanism. It can make the once scarce the now abundant. Heres some food for thought; the thought of earth getting nearly 5000 times the total energy from the sun phàn nàn we currently consume. The thought that earth is actually a water planet, covered 70% by oceans. So the problem probably isn’t resource, it’s the technology đồ sộ exploit it. Just lượt thích the ladder did for the oranges!
So whats my point? My point is the first sentence I wrote. But I still don’t see a solution, something that someone, an organization or even a government is working towards (another problem of the political world we have built, but ill save that for sometime else), ví naturally for bu it’s unsettling. Because its up-to our generation đồ sộ come up and work towards a solution.
What bởi you guys think? What may the possible areas be đồ sộ look at, or bởi you guys disagree that there must be a Net decline in population? Im eager đồ sộ hear, but also prepared đồ sộ get bombarded with un-relevant congratulations comments lượt thích I did on my previous post about Artificial Intelligence because no one actually reads such long write-ups anymore.